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Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Daily Insight: Aimless

U.S. stocks wandered aimlessly the entire day…up, down, up, down -- you know the drill, eventually erasing the final rally in the waning 10 minutes of the session. There is zero conviction right now as short-term traders just wait to see which direction we go -- headed to test that 1040 level on the S&P 500 or higher to the top end of the most recent range, about 1118.

The economic data was not a help really. Personal income and spending was offsetting as incomes came in a bit below expectations, while spending a bit higher. Overall, I thought the report was a good one, as the gain in income outpace spending; it would be nice to see this play out for a while, but as we elude to below this is probably not the type of stuff traders would like to see – spend baby, spend.

Energy and basic material stocks were the worst hit groups yesterday, It was a divided session as five of the top 10 industry groups fell with five gaining ground. Consumer staple and telecom shares were the out-performers.

Treasury securities continued to rally, making it four of the past five sessions, as the yield on the 10-year fell to 3.02% -- again – and the two-year looks headed below 0.60% -- a record low yield, even below the 2008 and 2009 lows. And the rally continues today as the 10-year yield is down another five bps to 2.97% and the two-year just barely above that 0.60% mark at 0.617%...continued after the jump.
Click here to read the full Daily Insight.

Brent Vondera, Senior Analyst
www.acrinv.com

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